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Mavericks vs. Warriors prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 2 best bets from model on 87-59 run

Thewill look to even up the 2022 Western Conference finals when they visit the for Game 2 on Friday. Golden State is the highest-scoring team in the 2022 playoffs and it put up 112 points on Dallas in Game 1, en route to a 25-point blowout victory. The Warriors are 7-0 at home this postseason, while the Mavericks are 3-5 on the road. (neck) and (elbow) remain out for the WaTipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET from Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is a six-point home favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points scored is set at 213.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.Now, the model has set its sights onand just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can Here are several and betting lines for Warriors vs. MavsGuard is lights out from 3-point land and thrives in big-time games. Thompson is a catch-and-shoot threat with outstanding range. The five-time All-Star also plays sound defense with a knack for steals. Thompson is averaging 19.9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game. In Game 1, he dropped 15 points, five boards and four assists.Guard joins the “splash brothers” — Thompson and in the backcourt. Poole is yet another ball-handler in the backcourt with the ability to create his own shot as well as find his teammates. The Michigan product knows how to attack his man and keep the pressure on the defender. Poole is averaging 19.3 points and 4.7 assists per game.

Why the Mavericks can cover

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 213 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent oCharles Barkley vs. Warriors fans: Why ‘NBA on TNT’ analyst is rooting for Mavericks in Western Conference FinalsCharles Barkley has turned it up a notch in his ongoing back-and-forth with Warriors fans.Barkley hasn’t been shy in needling Warriors fans, even picking the Mavericks to emerge victorious in the Western Conference Finals — not because he feels the Mavs are the best team left in the West, but because he just hates Golden State supporters.Before Game 2 at the Chase Center on Friday night, “The Chuckster” had his most recent flare-up with the home team’s fans during TNT’s “Inside the NBA” pregame show.As a chorus of boos rang out, Barkley let everyone know why he was siding with the Mavericks.

Charles Barkley vs. Draymond Green

Barkley has said he likes the Warriors as a team. That may be true, but that hasn’t stopped him from needling Green at various stages this seasonBefore Game 2, Barkley chided Green for shooting the ball during warmups.Why are you shooting the ball in warmups when you never shoot in the games?” Barkley asked the three-time NBA champion.”I shoot when I have to, Chuck,” Green said. “I shoot when I have to, when I need to win championships.”Green also defended Warriors fans, saying “They’ve got more rings than you, Chuck.” Barkley responded, “I know they do, but they have to go back to their life. I’m going to go home and be Charles Barkley, and I’m going to feel pretty good about my life.”

This was officially (another) “Poole party”: With those late free throws, Jordan Poole secured his first 20-plus point outing in the Warriors’ last five playoff games (23 points with a plus-26 rating; six of 10 from three-point range). He scored 20-plus in six of Golden State’s first eight playoff games. Poole also recorded five assists and two steals in Game 2.Back when Steph Curry had agreed to be a super Sixth Man at the start of the playoffs, Poole started the first five games before returning to his reserve role. And as he said when we spoke at length in the first round against Denver, all he cares about is being able to make an impact like this.I mean, it’d be cool to start,” he said. “It’d be cool to be out there in the starting lineup. But being able to know that I can go out there and impact the game with 25, 30, 35 minutes, I mean, that’s all I really care about.”The Dallas Mavericks came up short in their in Game 1 to the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference Finals. With the goal of avoiding a 2-0 series deficit, they will need to respond in a major way in Game 2. Defeating the Warriors on the road is no easy task. The Warriors are 16-3 at home in Game 2’s since their title run in 2014-15 and are 17-5 in Game 2’s overall during this stretch. When the Mavericks face a team that denies them traditional ball screen usage by switching everything, Powell’s impact on offense becomes significantly limited. The defense essentially his positioning in the dunker spot as a way to load up the paint. With Draymond Green in the matchup, that’s a problem. Now, the concern for the Mavericks is how small can they go before they get blasted on the boards given rebounding is already a problem? Against the Warriors, there are times when their stronger players like Andrew Wiggins or Draymond Green The Mavericks do need to deploy their three-guard lineup with Doncic, Brunson, and Dinwiddie more frequently. They also need to minimize the playing time allocated to non-shooting threats, including Powell. The Warriors can’t make a concerted effort to contain three threats that can get into the paint all at the same time. It becomes simpler to identify and attack weaker elements of the defense as opposed to trying to make something happen out of tougher options. If there doesn’t end up being a viable option for the Mavericks with lineup combinations after getting creative, it becomes a sign that perhaps upgrading a spot or two is a must before emerging as a consistent title contender.

Lock In On Defense

The Warriors are not the type of half-court offense that is going to have one player pound the air out of the ball until a tough shot gets taken. They run a fast-paced attack where the ball is flying around the unitforcing the defense to react with rotations. Instead, the Warriors are going to run a ball screen and if the defense is playing close to the level and loading up, they will get to a weak-side action to put the defense into the blender. The speed of the Warriors’ decision-making threw the Mavericks’ defense into a loop. Whether the end result was open cuts, losing a shooter just long enough to give up a look, or being out of position on the boards, it takes a tied-together unit to get it done. A general rule of thumb: Do not feel you get even a second of relaxation after Stephen Curry gives up the basketball. Dorian Finney-Smith experienced this the hard way after Curry gave the ball up out of a trap and immediately worked to get it back with the help of an off-ball screen.The Warriors took advantage of the Mavericks’ defense favoring engaging tightly off the ball by using secondary actions to generate open cuts into space. Loading up on the initial ball screen Curry is involved in leads to cuts out of secondary actions at times. That can’t happen. The Mavericks will need to also determine if it’s worth sending two at the ball against someone like Klay Thompson when it can put the backend of the unit at risk of not being able to finish the play. Minimizing the situations where making an offensive threat see two defenders when appropriate can help keep things intact. Where the Warriors did a lot of damage to the Mavericks was when they had chances to get out in transition. The speed they played at seemed overwhelming at times, whether it was Green aggressively initiating, spray-ahead passes were made, or a blow-by happened after engaging the ball so high. It’s going to take a more focused effort from the Mavericks as a whole unit if they are going to try to load up on the Warriors’ top talents. There is too much discipline in Golden State’s offense to succeed by taking away just the head of the snake in the half-court.

Offensive Execution Must Tighten Up

When any team is playing against the Warriors, it’s a terrible combination to shoot poorly on open shots and turn the ball over often. Golden State is just too good of an open floor team and those two factors create chances to take advantage. When the Mavericks’ shooters aren’t connecting at a reasonable clip, it encourages the Warriors’ defensive strategy of loading up against him. It’s up to the role player shooters to make the Warriors’ defense have to play a more honest approach by hitting shots. Converting at just an 11-44 (25.0 percent) clip when taking 3-point attempts classified as being at least open it’s just not going to cut it. That’s a lot of quality looks that didn’t drop.Just make the shots,” Kidd said. “We had good looks. We had open looks. We just missed them. That’s all. We make those shots, it’s a different situation.”

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